2026 U.S. House - CA-27
Latest weighted polling average and Monte Carlo forecast for 2026 U.S. House - CA-27. Smith vs Garcia. 35 polls tracked.
Race details
- Office: House
- Geography: California 27th
- Election date: 2026-11-03
- Smith (D) vs Garcia (R)
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | Smith | Garcia | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Siena | 48% | 51% | 639 RV |
| 2026-09-30 | Marist | 49% | 50% | 626 LV |
| 2026-09-24 | Rasmussen | 48% | 51% | 1083 A |
| 2026-09-19 | YouGov | 49% | 52% | 723 RV |
| 2026-09-14 | Emerson College | 48% | 51% | 620 LV |
| 2026-09-09 | Siena | 49% | 52% | 1065 A |
| 2026-09-04 | Siena | 50% | 50% | 1007 RV |
| 2026-08-30 | Marist | 51% | 50% | 843 RV |
| 2026-08-25 | Marist | 51% | 49% | 606 LV |
| 2026-08-20 | Emerson College | 51% | 50% | 1129 RV |
| 2026-08-15 | Marist | 50% | 49% | 806 A |
| 2026-08-10 | YouGov | 51% | 50% | 734 RV |
| 2026-08-05 | Siena | 51% | 50% | 1194 A |
| 2026-07-31 | Emerson College | 51% | 49% | 900 RV |
| 2026-07-26 | YouGov | 50% | 49% | 892 LV |