2026 U.S. House - CA-27
Latest weighted polling average and Monte Carlo forecast for 2026 U.S. House - CA-27. Smith vs Garcia. 18 polls tracked.
Race details
- Office: House
- Geography: California 27th
- Election date: 2026-11-03
- Smith (D) vs Garcia (R)
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | Smith | Garcia | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | YouGov | 50% | 51% | 683 LV |
| 2026-07-06 | Quinnipiac | 51% | 50% | 807 A |
| 2026-07-01 | Rasmussen | 50% | 50% | 727 LV |
| 2026-06-26 | Rasmussen | 49% | 52% | 1036 A |
| 2026-06-21 | YouGov | 49% | 51% | 653 LV |
| 2026-06-16 | Siena | 48% | 51% | 1120 A |
| 2026-06-11 | Quinnipiac | 49% | 52% | 921 A |
| 2026-06-06 | Emerson College | 50% | 50% | 715 LV |
| 2026-06-01 | YouGov | 50% | 49% | 735 RV |
| 2026-05-27 | Marist | 49% | 50% | 1007 RV |
| 2026-02-20 | Quinnipiac University | 47.7% | 47.5% | 792 LV |
| 2026-02-04 | Redfield & Wilton | 48% | 47% | 620 LV |
| 2026-01-24 | Data for Progress | 49% | 46% | 504 LV |
| 2025-12-29 | RMG Research | 49.4% | 44.9% | 1236 RV |
| 2025-11-06 | Public Policy Polling | 46.3% | 48% | 624 RV |